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A review of oil and gas drilling activity forecasting techniques
Angevine, G. E. - 1984
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003256604
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U.S. Shale Oil Production and Technology Trend Estimation : Forecasting a Hubbert Curve Model Including Technology Change
Reynolds, Douglas B. - 2022
Scarcity and growth analyses about energy include forecasting extraction rates of non-renewable resources while taking into account technological progression. There are two distinct technological mechanisms. Moore’s (1965) Law technological improvement is experience enhanced steady cost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078444
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Application of a new grey prediction model and grey average weakening buffer operator to forecast China's shale gas output
Zeng, Bo; Zhou, Meng; Liu, Xianzhou; Zhang, Zhiwei - In: Energy reports 6 (2020), pp. 1608-1618
. Finally, the new model is used to simulate and forecast shale gas output in China from 2012 to 2018 and compared it with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266183
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Prospective modelling of oil supply in Tunisia
Necibi, Thameur - In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 4 (2014) 2, pp. 220-228
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286257
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Official forecasts and management of oil windfalls
Harding, Torfinn; Ploeg, Frederick van der - In: International tax and public finance 20 (2013) 5, pp. 827-866
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231152
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Forecastability and statistical characteristics of aggregate oil and gas investments on the Norwegian Continental Shelf
Lorentzen, Sindre; Osmundsen, Petter - 2016
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS). A unique and detailed dataset containing data from 109 different fields on the NCS between 1970 and 2015 was employed. A set of 1080 autoregressive distributed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544319
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World oil production trend : comparing Hubbert multi-cycle curves
Reynolds, Douglas B. - In: Ecological economics : the transdisciplinary journal of … 98 (2014), pp. 62-71
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410697
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Forecasting energy needs with logistics
Modis, Theodore - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 139 (2019), pp. 135-143
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132437
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Debiasing Probabilistic Oil Production Forecasts on the Norwegian Continental Shelf
Nesvold, Erik; Bratvold, Reidar B. - 2022
quantification, the forecast time series is aligned with actual production start in the analysis. The presence of persistent optimism … and overprecision bias is shown. A simple and robust calibration model is proposed, and the value of using the forecast … triplet is shown to be marginal at best relative to only using the mean forecast. Our interpretation is that these findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013304810
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Forecasting Inflation in Mexico using factor models : do disaggregated CPI data improve forecast accuracy?
Ibarra-Ramírez, Raúl - 2010
In this paper we apply a dynamic factor model to generate out of sample forecasts for the inflation rate in Mexico. We … disaggregated data to forecast inflation. Our data set contains 54 macroeconomic series and 243 CPI subcomponents from 1988 to 2008 … information ; Principal components ; Forecast evaluation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962093