Die vorliegende Dissertation mit dem Titel Monetary DSGE Models of Two Countries: Set-Up, Estimation, and Forecasting Performance beinhaltet neben einem einleitenden noch drei weitere Kapitel. In Kapitel 2 entwickeln wir ein Zwei-Länder-DSGE-Modell und untersuchen die Auswirkungen von...

Recent studies document the deteriorating performance of forecasting models during the Great Moderation, which conversely implies that forecastability was higher in the preceding era when the economy was unexpectedly volatile. We explain this phenomenon in the context of equilibrium...

In this paper we estimate and forecast with a small-scale DSGE model of the Euro area and the United States characterized by diverging interest-rate rules using quarterly data from 1996Q2 to 2011Q2. These diverging rules reflect the differing mandates of the ECB and the Fed, respectively. Due to...

We develop a two-country New Keynesian model with sticky local currency pricing,distribution costs and a demand elasticity increasing with the relative price. These features help to reduce the exchange rate pass-through to import price at the border and down the chain towards consumption price,...