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financial traders individually learn how to use forecasting and/or trading anchor-and-adjustment heuristics by updating them …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894616
(4) a characterization of the mean, median and empirical distribution of forecasting heuristics. The median of the … distribution of GA forecasting heuristics can be used in designing or validating simple Heuristic Switching Model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018941
financial traders individually learn how to use forecasting and/or trading anchor-and-adjustment heuristics by updating them …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011956452
terms of likelihood. If the prior support is misspecified, I demonstrate how rules that underreact to new information can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968673
Facing climate change, seasonal forecasts, and weather warnings are increasingly important to warn the public of the risk of extreme climate conditions. However, being confronted with inaccurate forecast systems may undermine individuals' responsiveness in the long run. Using an online...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053857
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962536
We present the first calibration of quantum decision theory (QDT) to an empirical data set. The data comprise 91 choices between two lotteries (two "prospects") presented in 91 random pairs made by 142 subjects offered at two separated times. First, we quantitatively account for the fraction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011516615
Women are stereotyped as more risk averse than men. Empirical and experimental investigations seem to support the stereotype, yet they tackle different and often unrelated aspects. Reliable predictions on gender specific differences in risky choices are hardly possible since there is no common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001726237
The question of how to measure and classify people's risk preferences is of substantial importance in the field of Economics. Inspired by the multitude of ways used to elicit them, we conduct a holistic investigation of the most prevalent method, the multiple price list (MPL) and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027098
The transitivity axiom is common to nearly all descriptive and normative utility theories of choice under risk. Recent experiments claim to show observed intransitive preference cycles are no more than noise. We take issue with this consensus position and its normative defence of transitivity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994807