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Stochastic household forecasts by coherent random shares predictions

Keilman, Nico; Duin, Coen van - 2014 - This version 14 April 2014

We compute a stochastic household forecast for the Netherlands by the random share method. Time series of shares of … persons in nine household positions, broken down by sex and five-year age group for the years 1996-2010 are modelled by means … of time indices for each household position for men and women. We model these time indices as a Random Walk with Drift …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354141

Intrahousehold Resource Allocation and Individual Poverty : Assessing Collective Model Predictions Against Direct Evidence on Sharing

Bargain, Olivier; Lacroix, Guy; Tiberti, Luca - 2023

-capita expenditures and ignore the extent of within-household inequality. Recent advances in the estimation of collective models suggest … stability upon exclusive goods across individuals or household types) and the observation of exclusive goods. So far, the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254963

Labor market imperfections and selective separability in household models : a predictive typology of Mexican Ejidatarios

Sadoulet, Elisabeth; De Janvry, Alain; Benjamin, Catherine - 1996

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000946209

Household forecasting : preservation of age patterns

Keilman, Nico - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 3, pp. 726-735

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621790

Consumer bankruptcy prediction using balanced and imbalanced data

Brygała, Magdalena - In: Risks : open access journal 10 (2022) 2, pp. 1-13

the current global pandemic crisis, the future of household finances is uncertain. The change of the macroeconomic and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805903

Nowcasting household consumption in Azerbaijan

Ramazanova, Nazrin; Rahmanov, Ramiz - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448566

Analytical Prediction of Transitions Probabilities in the Conditional Logit Model

Bonin, Holger; Schneider, Hilmar - 2021

The paper derives analytical transitions probabilities following an exogenous shock to the deterministic component in the conditional logit model. The solution draws on the postestimation distribution of the model's stochastic component, identified on the basis of a direct utility maximization...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319505

Forecasting labour supply and population : an integrated stochastic model

Fuchs, Johann; Söhnlein, Doris; Weber, Brigitte; … - 2017 - Aktualisierte Fassung vom 17. Mai 2017

This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and immigration rates. The labour force participation rates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586534

Modelling household consumption : a long-term forecasting approach

Bardazzi, Rossella - In: Economic multisectoral modelling between past and …, (pp. 213-227). 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369930

Probabilistic Forecasting using Stochastic Diffusion Models, with Applications to Cohort Processes of Marriage and Fertility

Myrskylä, Mikko; Goldstein, Joshua R. - 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936965

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