We examine whether financial analysts understand the effect of unionization on firm earnings in the U.S. by examining a large panel dataset with firm-level unionization, adoptions of right-to-work (RTW) laws, and union certification elections. We find that forecast errors for unionized firms in...

Dynamic multi-factor regression models make it possible to take into account the dynamics of the proportions of the resulting indicator of socio-economic security and indicators in the retrospective period. The defects of such a model include the complexity of selecting indicators and...

The method of exponential smoothing is widely used in the forecasting of financial and economic characteristics in different sectors of the economy, departments, etc. In the construction of a forecast model by exponential smoothing time series of characteristics of socio–economic security is...

Using annual time series data on net FDI inflows for Nigeria from 1960 to 2017, the study analyzes net FDI inflows using the Box – Jenkins ARIMA methodology. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests show that Nigeria FDI net FDI inflows data is I (1). Based on the AIC, the study presents the ARIMA...

We contribute to the research on the information content of earnings as it applies to the forecasting of economic activity across reporting models. We examine whether publicly available financial statement information is incrementally useful in forecasting confidentially reported taxable income....

This paper provides insight view of an investor mind dueling on proving the fact that a series of event in a company could cause a dramatic move on to practitioners who wish to forecast market returns based on event occurrences.Using 12 years (2006 to 2018) historical data of Foxconn Company...

We develop a two-country New Keynesian model with sticky local currency pricing,distribution costs and a demand elasticity increasing with the relative price. These features help to reduce the exchange rate pass-through to import price at the border and down the chain towards consumption price,...

Die vorliegende Dissertation mit dem Titel Monetary DSGE Models of Two Countries: Set-Up, Estimation, and Forecasting Performance beinhaltet neben einem einleitenden noch drei weitere Kapitel. In Kapitel 2 entwickeln wir ein Zwei-Länder-DSGE-Modell und untersuchen die Auswirkungen von...

We analyze the relevande of losses, accounting information on tax loss carryforwards, and deferred taxes for the prediction of earnings and cash flows up to four years ahead. We use a unique hand-collected panel of German listed firms encompassing detailed information on tax loss carryforwards...