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usefulness for forecasting real oil prices and global petroleum consumption. We find that world industrial production is one of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213172
even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared … spatial dependence structure into regional forecasting models, especially, when long-term forecasts are made. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039490
-of-sample forecasting accuracy by the Diebold-Mariano (DM) test with several metrics. The predictive information is fundamental for the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012657670
-of-sample forecasting accuracy by the Diebold-Mariano (DM) test with several metrics. The predictive information is fundamental for the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323724
This study extends previous work applying unsupervised machine learning to commodity markets. "Clustering Commodity Markets in Space and Time" [DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102162] examined returns and volatility in commodity markets. That paper supported the conventional ontology of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356740
shown that effect of accounting for spatial dependence is even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast …-year horizon). -- Chinese provinces ; forecasting ; dynamic panel model ; spatial autocorrelation ; group-specific spatial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003889550
longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared forecast error is about 8% at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138903
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