. -- Quality of statistical data ; real-time data ; signal-to-noise ratio ; forecasts ; revisions … the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than nai͏̈ve forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data …

. -- Quality of statistical data ; real-time data ; signal-to-noise ratio ; forecasts ; revisions … the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naive forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data …

the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naive forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data …

revised. Implicitly, the possibility of data revisions creates an element of uncertainty around the very same data driving … policy decisions. Given that such uncertainty could be mitigated if data revisions were predictable, this paper sets out to … identify any systematic patterns in the Maltese 'Real GDP' data and underlying revisions which could in turn prove useful when …

Data revisions to national accounts pose a serious challenge to policy decision making. Well-behaved revisions should … be unbiased, small and unpredictable. This paper shows that revisions to German national accounts are biased, large and … predictable. Moreover, using filtering techniques designed to process data subject to revisions, the real-time forecasting …

extracts uncertainty from revisions in data obtained from standardized national accounts. Applying our model to quarterly post …

Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …

Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …

I show that the probability that the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System staff's forecasts (the …, Greenbooks were much more likely to overpredict real GDP growth, with one-quarter ahead forecasts overpredicting real GDP growth … more than 75% of the time, and this rate of overprediction was higher for further ahead forecasts. For forecasted quarters …