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Evaluating an EGARCH model with fat tails, skewness and leverage in forecasting VaR
Benito Muela, Sonia - In: Journal of contemporary management : JMC 4 (2015) 3, pp. 67-80
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392904
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Accuracy in risk estimation based on simple SMA and EWNA models : evidence from Macedonain Stock Market
Angelovska, Julijana; Ivanovski, Zoran - In: UTMS journal of economics / University of Tourism and … 9 (2018) 1, pp. 17-27
Risk estimation or volatility estimation at financial markets, particularly stock exchange markets, is complex issue of … pricing of stocks and better risk management. The aim of this research is to test applicability of simple models like Simple … Moving Average (SMA) and Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) to estimate risk. The performance of SMA and EWMA with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901688
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The role of trading volume in forecasting market risk
Slim, Skander - In: Inventi impact: international trade (2016) 3, pp. 169-181
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011567980
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Price index modeling and risk prediction of sharia stocks in Indonesia
Hersugondo; Ghozali, Imam; Handriani, Eka; Trimono, Trimono - In: Economies : open access journal 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-13
loss risk. This study uses geometric Brownian motion (GBM) and Value at Risk (VaR; with the Monte Carlo Simulation approach …) on the daily closing price of JKII from 1 August 2020-13 August 2021 to predict the price and loss risk of JKII at 16 … 2.03%. Then, using VaR with a Monte Carlo Simulation approach, the loss risk prediction for 16 August 2021 (one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800645
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Bayesian Value-at-Risk backtesting : the case of annuity pricing
Leung, Melvern; Li, Youwei; Pantelous, Athanasios A.; … - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 293 (2021) 2, pp. 786-801
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012513273
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Evaluation of backtesting techniques on risk models with different horizons
Kontaxis, Grigorios; Tsolas, Ioannis E. - In: The journal of risk model validation 15 (2021) 4, pp. 29-50
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013173367
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Portfolio risk forecasting
Braun, Valentin; Hackethal, Andreas - In: Journal of risk 16 (2013/2014) 1, pp. 35-68
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262566
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Machine learning risk models
Kakushadze, Zura; Yu, Willie - In: Journal of risk & control 6 (2019) 1, pp. 37-64
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237599
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Comparison of Block Maxima and Peaks Over Threshold Value-at-Risk models for market risk in various economic conditions
Szubzda, Filip; Chlebus, Marcin - In: Central European economic journal 6 (2019) 53, pp. 70-85
. Two approaches based on the extreme value theory were compared: Block Maxima and the Peaks Over Threshold. Forecasts were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302139
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Forecasting high-frequency risk measures
Banulescu, Denisa; Colletaz, Gilbert; Hurlin, Christophe; … - In: Journal of forecasting 35 (2016) 3, pp. 224-249
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580273