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Forecasting, uncertainty and risk; perspectives on clinical decision-making in preventive and curative medicine
Makridakis, Spyros G.; Kirkham, Richard; Wakefield, Ann; … - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 2, pp. 659-666
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300711
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Entwicklung eines strategischen Prognosemodells für Krankenhausunternehmen in Deutschland
Arnold, Christoph - 2009 - Als Ms. gedr.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003798788
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Recession forecasting with dynamic probit models under real time conditions
Proaño Acosta, Christian - 2010
macroeconomic and financial monthly indicators for Germany. Using different initial sets of explanatory variables, alternative …In diesem Papier wird ein dynamisches Probit Modell für die Vorhersage von Rezessionen unter Pseudo-Echtzeit geschätzt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306636
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Forecasting Adoption of Ultra-Low-Emission Vehicles Using the GHK Simulator and Bayes Estimates of a Multinomial Probit Model
Daziano, Ricardo; Achtnicht, Martin - 2014
stated-preference data on vehicle choice from a Germany-wide survey of potential light-duty-vehicle buyers using computer …-assisted personal interviewing. We show that Bayesian estimation of a multinomial probit model with a full covariance matrix is feasible … representing an average of the current vehicle choice situation in Germany. Consumer response to qualitative changes in the base …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014172337
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Do leading indicators help to predict business cycle turning points in Germany?
Fritsche, Ulrich; Kouzine, Vladimir - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013436271
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Do leading indicators help to predict business cycle turning points in Germany?
Fritsche, Ulrich; Kouzine, Vladimir - 2002
Using a binary reference series based on the dating procedure of Artis, Kontolemis and Osborn (1997) different procedures for predicting turning points of the German business cycles were tested. Specifically, a probit model as proposed by Estrella and Mishkin (1997) as well as Markov-switching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437017
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How Forward Looking are Central Banks? Some Evidence from Their Forecasts
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michal - 2012
We estimate forward-looking Taylor rules on data from macroeconomic forecasts of three central banks (Bank of England, National Bank of Poland and Swiss National Bank) in order to determine the extent to which these banks are forward looking in their monetary policy decisions. We find that all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107503
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Study of Discrete Choice Models and Artificial Intelligence Approaches in the Prediction of Economic Crises
Giovanis, Eleftherios - 2011
We examine various and different approaches for the prediction of economic crisis periods of US economy. We examine the traditional econometric discrete choice Logit and Probit models then a feed-forward neural network (FFNN) model and finally we apply an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126950
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A simple method for predicting distributions by means of covariates with examples from poverty and health economics
Dai, Jing; Sperlich, Stefan; Zucchini, Walter - In: Swiss journal of economics and statistics 152 (2016) 1, pp. 49-80
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506445
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Kombinierte Liquiditäts- und Solvenzkennzahlen und ein darauf basierendes Insolvenzprognosemodell für deutsche GmbHs
Perederiy, Volodymyr (contributor) - 2007
Eine große Herausforderung der multivariablen Analyse mit bilanziellen Kennzahlen besteht in der Identifikation derjenigen Kennzahlen, die zur besten Modellperformance führen und dabei möglichst leicht interpretierbar und intuitiv bleiben. Die Menge der in Frage kommenden Kennzahlen ist in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003635001