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We provide evidence on the effect of the slope of the yield curve on economic activity through bank lending. Using … rates) boosts bank profits and the supply of bank loans. Intuitively, a higher term premium represents greater expected … profits on maturity transformation, which is at the core of banks' business model, and therefore incentivizes bank lending …
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In a panel of West African countries, we investigate whether data on immigrant remittance flows can be used to improve on predictive accuracy of aggregate demand in a systematic way. The results of the prediction experiments are compared to traditional significance tests of asymmetric error...
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