Showing 1 - 10 of 1,840
This paper explores the determinants of deviations of ex-post budget outcomes from first-release outcomes published towards the end of the year of budget implementation. The predictive content of the first-release outcomes is important, because these figures are an input for the next budget and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386471
This paper explores the determinants of deviations of ex-post budget outcomes from first-release outcomes published towards the end of the year of budget implementation. The predictive content of the first-release outcomes is important, because these figures are an input for the next budget and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125053
We use a newly available dataset of euro area quarterly national accounts fiscal data and construct multivariate, state-space mixed-frequencies models for the government deficit, revenue and expenditure in order to assess its information content and its potential use for fiscal forecasting and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770591
We contend that corruption must be detected as soon as possible so that corrective and preventive measures may be taken … public corruption based on economic and political factors. Unlike previous research, which is based on the perception of … corruption, we use data on actual cases of corruption. We apply the model to Spanish provinces in which actual cases of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942986
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013461169
reopening, the analysis suggests that GDP growth may grow by about 7.1 percent, but economic activity may weaken in 2023 as the … global economic environment deteriorates. Inflation will likely continue to be elevated in 2022 but may still fall within the … persistently high inflation, an uncertain business environment, and a possible downturn in the world's major economies. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476021
Potential links between inflation and unemployment in Canada have been examined. No consistent Phillips curve has been … linear links between inflation and unemployment could exist - before 1983 and after 1983.A linear and lagged relationship … between inflation, unemployment and labor force has been obtained for Canada. Similar relationships were reported previously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721183
Potential links between inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Germany have been examined. There exists a … negative relation between inflation and unemployment with the latter leading the former by one year: UE(t-1) = 1.50(t) + 0 ….116. Effectively, growing unemployment has resulted in decreasing inflation since 1971, i.e. for the period where GDP deflator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223809
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force growth rate has been recently found for the USA. It … demonstrates that the annual labor force growth rate used as a predictor explains almost 82% (R^2=0.82) of the inflation variations … previously reported agreement between observed and predicted inflation is substantially improved by some simple measures removing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014057105
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012642609