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of ARCH effect has been tried to predict with conditional variance models such as ARCH (1), ARCH (2), ARCH (3), GARCH (1 …,1), GARCH (1,2), GARCH (1,3), GARCH (2,1), GARCH (2,2), EGARCH (1,1) and EGARCH (1,2). While the obtained findings indicate that … the best model is in the direction of GARCH (1,1) according to Akaike info criterion, it was found that GARCH (1,1) model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
Volatility (SV) and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models which are both extended to include … outperforms the GARCH model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)–class models in terms of their in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting accuracy … 2015. The results suggest that the Asymmetric Power of ARCH (APARCH) model is the most accurate model in the GARCH class …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960525
In this study, we model realized volatility constructed from intraday high-frequency data. We explore the possibility of confusing long memory and structural breaks in the realized volatility of the following spot exchange rates: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, and EUR/AUD. The results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900291
the Sharpe ratio from the ARMA-GARCH model and finds that the Sharpe ratio just depends on the coefficients of the AR and … MA terms and is not affected by the GARCH process. For empirical purposes, the Sharpe ratio can be formulated with a … author also constructs empirical AR-GARCH models and computes the Sharpe ratio for S&P 500 Index and the SSE Composite Index. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296006
The recent 50% drop in the price of the flagship cryptocurrency Bitcoin reinforces the persistent anxiety among cryptocurrency investors. Can alternative assets hedge Bitcoin risk? This study investigates the ability of equities, commodities, bonds, currencies, and VIX futures to hedge Bitcoin....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334846
such as Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (GARCH), Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS), and … inclusion of exogenous variables is beneficial for GARCH-type models while offering only a marginal improvement for GAS and SV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252427
Forecasters (SPF) in the US. Incorporating SPF consensus forecasts into the conditional mean of an AR-GARCH type model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578011
validate this result. The last twenty eight days out-of-sample forecast adjudged Power-GARCH (1, 1, 1) in student's t error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304