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Time scale evaluation of economic forecasts
Michis, Antonis A. - In: Economics letters 123 (2014) 3, pp. 279-281
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401387
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Nowcasting the trajectory of the COVID-19 recovery
Fuleky, Peter - In: Applied economics letters 29 (2022) 11, pp. 1037-1041
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013412024
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An innovative drought early warning system for sub-Saharan Africa: integrating modern and indigenous approaches
Masinde, Muthoni - In: African journal of science, technology, innovation & … 7 (2015) 1/2, pp. 8-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011497829
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Drought Forecasting Under Climate Change Scenarios Using Artificial Neural Networks for Sustainable Water Resources Management in Upper Tana River Basin, Kenya
Mutua, PhD, Rer. nat., Prof. Dr.-Ing. Benedict Mwavu; … - 2018
especially the drought phenomena have become frequent in Africa. This has prompted water engineers and hydrologists to formulate … mitigation and adaptation measures to address these challenges. The frequency of drought event of a defined severity for a …. This paper presents an analysis of the hydrological drought frequency for the upper Tana River basin in Kenya using the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112740
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A note on the model selection risk for ANOVA based adaptive forecasting of the EURIBOR swap term structure
Blaskowitz, Oliver (contributor);  … - 2008
The paper proposes a data driven adaptive model selection strategy. The selection crite- rion measures economic exante forecasting content by means of trading implied cash flows. Empirical evidence suggests that the proposed strategy is neither exposed to selection bias nor to the risk of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770821
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Factor forecasting using international targeted predictors : the case of German GDP
Schumacher, Christian - 2009
This paper considers factor forecasting with national versus factor forecasting with international data. We forecast German GDP based on a large set of about 500 time series, consisting of German data as well as data from Euro-area and G7 countries. For factor estimation, we consider standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831959
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Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors : an application to New Zealand
Eickmeier, Sandra; Ng, Tim - 2009
We look at how large international datasets can improve forecasts of national activity. We use the case of New Zealand, an archetypal small open economy. We apply data-richʺ factor and shrinkage methods to tackle the problem of efficiently handling hundreds of predictor data series from many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831960
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Google searches as a means of improving the nowcasts of key macroeconomic variables
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Podstawski, Maximilian - 2009
The Google Insights data are a collection of recorded Internet searches for a huge number of the keywords, which are available since January 2004. These searches represent a kind of revealed perceptions of Internet users, which are a (possibly not entirely representative) sample of the general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897268
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Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors : an application to New Zealand
Eickmeier, Sandra; Ng, Tim - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003868685