Kalfa, S. Yanki; Marquez, Jaime R. - In: Econometrics : open access journal 9 (2021) 3, pp. 1-20
(Hendry 1980, p. 403) The three golden rules of econometrics are "test, test, and test". The current paper applies that approach to model the forecasts of the Federal Open Market Committee over 1992-2019 and to forecast those forecasts themselves. Monetary policy is forward-looking, and as part...