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procedure. I parameterize the underlying exchange rate process as a mixture of log-normals, price the options using Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577049
from the market prices of S&P 500 index options. To this end, we conduct a horse race among alternative forecasting models … find that higher risk-neutral moments can be statistically forecasted. However, only the one-day-ahead skewness forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115379
This paper provides an empirical study on the predictability of implied volatility using dataset collected from the London over-the-counter currency option market. The present work is motivated by the lack of empirical studies that address implied volatility characteristics across various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121151
A growing body of literature confirms the significance of the commodity futures basis factor: It has a significantly positive premium and it explains the cross-section of commodity-futures excess returns. We extend the literature by documenting predictive relation between this factor and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065562
-looking risk measures that do not depend from the amount of historical data used and that, through the implied moments of options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823461
-based option volume on returns on mispriced stocks concentrates in highly levered options and when it is costly to short the stocks …. Beyond the well-documented role of informed trading in options, our evidence suggests that intense trading in options also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851265
A central consideration for the use of any pricing model is the ability to calibrate that model to market or historical prices. Whether the information needed by the model can be effectively implied from the data or not is one part of the calibration problem. However, in many applications, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986486
long-short portfolios of equity options even after accounting for transaction costs. Although option-based characteristics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012620725
We investigate the cross-sectional return predictability of delta-hedged equity options using machine learning and big … long-short portfolios of equity options even after accounting for transaction costs. Although option-based characteristics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215503
In an empirical study of Standard & Poor's 500 index options, this paper analyses the predictability of future market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234246