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We suggest the use of an Internet job-search indicator (the Google Index, GI) as the best leading indicator to predict … in comparison with the Survey of Professional Forecasters. -- Google Econometrics ; Forecast Comparison ; Keyword Search …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008702857
The online activity of Internet users has repeatedly been shown to provide a rich information set for various research fields. We focus on job-related searches on Google and their possible usefulness in the region of the Visegrad Group - the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. Even for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499586
We suggest the use of an index of Internet job-search intensity (the Google Index, GI) as the best leading indicator to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087807
prediction. This paper presents an application where unemployment job search indicators for the G7 countries are based on Google … trends data. For each country, a set of google search keywords is identified, then a data reduction technique is applied to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947707
We suggest the use of an Internet job-search indicator (the Google Index, GI) as the best leading indicator to predict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014195886
Predictions of whether newly unemployed individuals will become long-term unemployed are important for the planning and policy mix of unemployment insurance agencies. We analyze unique data on three sources of information on the probability of re-employment within 6 months (RE6), for the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014338662
We analyze unique data on three sources of information on the probability of re-employment within 6 months (RE6), for the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were asked for their perceived probability of RE6. Second, their caseworkers revealed whether they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014438589
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389608
earlier blog post, we suggested that Google Trends/Search Insights data could be useful in short term predictions of economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115805
In this work the precision and stability of the forecasts of Chile's unemployment rates are analyzed. Said models were obtained by a family of SARIMA (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) models, between February 1986 and February 2010. The SARIMA projections are compared with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103283