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Bayesian analysis of a threshold stochastic volatility model
Wirjanto, Tony S.; Kolkiewicz, Adam W.; Men, Zhongxian - In: Journal of forecasting 35 (2016) 5, pp. 462-476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580989
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A unified approach to mortality modelling using state-space framework : characterisation, identification, estimation and forecasting
Fung, Man Chung; Peters, Gareth; Shevchenko, Pavel V. - In: Annals of actuarial science : publ. by the Institute of … 11 (2017) 2, pp. 343-389
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820669
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Threshold stochastic volatility : properties and forecasting
Mao, Xiuping; Ruiz, Esther; Veiga, Helena - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 4, pp. 1105-1123
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746949
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Improving the asymmetric stochastic volatility model with ex-post volatility : the identification of the asymmetry
Zhang, Zehua; Zhao, Ran - In: Quantitative finance 23 (2023) 1, pp. 35-51
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013490951
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Forecasting volatility using realized stochastic volatility model with time-varying leverage effect
Wu, Xinyu; Wang, Xiaona - In: Finance research letters 34 (2020), pp. 1-7
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012436997
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Scientific stochastic volatility models for the European carbon markets : forecasting and extracting conditional moments
Solibakke, Per Bjarte - In: International journal of business 19 (2014) 1, pp. 63-98
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344777
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Bayesian analysis of intraday stochastic volatility models of high-frequency stock returns with skew heavy-tailed errors
Nakakita, Makoto; Nakatsuma, Teruo - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 4, pp. 1-29
Intraday high-frequency data of stock returns exhibit not only typical characteristics (e.g., volatility clustering and … the leverage effect) but also a cyclical pattern of return volatility that is known as intraday seasonality. In this paper …, we extend the stochastic volatility (SV) model for application with such intraday high-frequency data and develop an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520275
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Conditional value-at-risk forecasts of an optimal foreign currency portfolio
Kim, Dongwhan; Kang, Kyu Ho - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 2, pp. 838-861
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792873
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Chapter 15. Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregression
Karlsson, Sune - 2013
This chapter reviews Bayesian methods for inference and forecasting with VAR models. Bayesian inference and, by extension, forecasting depends on numerical methods for simulating from the posterior distribution of the parameters and special attention is given to the implementation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025233
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Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations : an application to G7 inflation forecasts
Zhang, Bo; Chan, Joshua; Cross, Jamie - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 4, pp. 1318-1328
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546706