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This paper proposes a new set of public health and long-term care expenditure projections till 2060, following up on the previous set of projections published in 2006. It disentangles health from longterm care expenditure as well as the demographic from the non-demographic drivers, and refines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009775557
Empirical evidence from several countries reveals that self-rated health is a valid predictor of mortality. So far … the relationship between self-rated health and mortality for Germany. In addition the GSOEP data enable an exploration of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432793
Background: Studies from several countries have shown that self-rated health is an independent predictor of mortality … individuals and (ii) changes in self-rated health, as predictors of mortality for Germany. Methods: A sub-sample of 3 … in self-rated health on predictions of mortality. Results: We find that, while currently self-rated health is shown to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626677
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010220037
how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014309747
We show that by modeling the time series of mortality rate changes rather than mortality rate levels we can better … model human mortality. Leveraging on this, we propose a model that expresses log mortality rate changes as an age group … dependent linear transformation of a mortality index. The mortality index is modeled as a Normal Inverse Gaussian. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092077
incorporating the joint future developments of age-specific mortality and health prevalence rates, GDP, and the unemployment rate …. We also quantify the uncertainties of (healthy) life expectancy taking into account the joint evolution of mortality … unemployment rate or without taking into account the joint development of mortality and health …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015155
probabilities that are less accurate in predicting their in-sample mortality. There is little evidence that the gradients in the … veracity of expectations are due to the less educated and cognitively able responding less to changes in objective mortality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023050
how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322749
how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347414