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Labor market imperfections and selective separability in household models : a predictive typology of Mexican Ejidatarios

Sadoulet, Elisabeth; De Janvry, Alain; Benjamin, Catherine - 1996

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000946209

Household forecasting : preservation of age patterns

Keilman, Nico - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 3, pp. 726-735

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621790

Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models

Url, Thomas; Hyndman, Rob J.; Dokumentov, Alexander - 2016

Many countries have implemented social programmes providing long-term financial or in-kind entitlements. These programmes often focus on specific age-groups and consequently their expenditure streams are subject to demographic change. Given the strains already existing on public budgets,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495122

Forecasting labour supply and population : an integrated stochastic model

Fuchs, Johann; Söhnlein, Doris; Weber, Brigitte; … - 2017 - Aktualisierte Fassung vom 17. Mai 2017

This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and immigration rates. The labour force participation rates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586534

Long-term forecasts of age-specific participation rates with functional data models

Url, Thomas; Gao, Jiti; Hyndman, Rob J. - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781536

Stochastic household forecasts by coherent random shares predictions

Keilman, Nico; Duin, Coen van - 2014 - This version 14 April 2014

We compute a stochastic household forecast for the Netherlands by the random share method. Time series of shares of … persons in nine household positions, broken down by sex and five-year age group for the years 1996-2010 are modelled by means … of time indices for each household position for men and women. We model these time indices as a Random Walk with Drift …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354141