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Verme, Paolo - 2020

OLS models are the predominant choice for poverty predictions in a variety of contexts such as proxy-means tests, poverty mapping or cross-survey imputations. This paper compares the performance of econometric and machine learning models in predicting poverty using alternative objective...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159707

Predicting poverty with missing incomes

Verme, Paolo - 2023

Poverty prediction models are used by economists to address missing data issues in a variety of contexts such as poverty profiling, targeting with proxy-means tests, cross-survey imputations such as poverty mapping, or vulnerability analyses. Based on the models used by this literature, this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014276037

New DIW Berlin model can nowcast the current income distribution : inequality likely to slightly increase in 2023

Bönke, Timm; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Pagenhardt, Laura - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 13 (2023) 43/44, pp. 283-289

DIW Berlin comes in: A new forecast model is making it possible to make statements about the current state of inequality … gained: Following declining inequality up until 2021, primarily between 2010 and 2020, the new DIW Berlin model forecasts an … interruption in the trend in 2022 and 2023. Overall, labor income inequality is predicted to have increased slightly over the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431177

Prioritizing Which Homeless People Get Housing Using Predictive Algorithms

Toros, Halil; Flaming, Daniel - 2017

We present the methodology for developing a predictive model for identifying homeless persons likely to have high future costs for public services. It was developed by linking administrative records from 2007 through 2012 for seven Santa Clara County agencies and identifying 38 demographic,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121616

Routes to the top

König, Johannes; Schluter, Christian; Schröder, Carsten - 2023

Who makes it to the top? We use the leading, socio-economic survey in Germany supplemented by extensive data on the rich to answer this question. We identify the key predictors for belonging to the top 1 percent of income, wealth, and both distributions jointly. Although we consider many, only a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468907

What Predicts a Successful Life? A Life-Course Model of Well-Being

Layard, Richard - 2013

If policy-makers care about well-being, they need a recursive model of how adult life-satisfaction is predicted by childhood influences, acting both directly and (indirectly) through adult circumstances. We estimate such a model using the British Cohort Study (1970). The most powerful childhood...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073851