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We propose simulation-based forecasting methods for the noncausal vector autoregressive model proposed by Lanne and … Saikkonen (2012). Simulation or numerical methods are required because the prediction problem is generally nonlinear and … simulation procedures. Simulation experiments demonstrate that gains in forecasting accuracy are achieved by using the correct …
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The Central Bank of Morocco has been working on developing a Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) to support a gradual move toward a more flexible exchange rate regime and the eventual adoption of a full-fledged inflation-targeting (IT) regime. At the center of the FPAS is a quarterly...
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