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Modelling of speculative bubbles and forecasting of market crashes
Gerlach, Jan-Christian - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510251
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Conditional moments of noncausal alpha-stable processes and the prediction of bubble crash odds
Fries, Sébastien - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 40 (2022) 4, pp. 1596-1616
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540394
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House prices, expectations, and time-varying fundamentals
Gelain, Paolo; Lansing, Kevin J. - In: Journal of empirical finance 29 (2014), pp. 3-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300508
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Contrarian behavior, information networks and heterogeneous expectations in an asset pricing model
Makarewicz, Tomasz - In: Computational economics 50 (2017) 2, pp. 231-279
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762381
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Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments
Hommes, Cars H.; Kopányi-Peuker, Anita; Sonnemans, Joep - In: Experimental economics : a journal of the Economic … 24 (2021) 2, pp. 414-433
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544355
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Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments
Hommes, Cars H.; Kopányi-Peuker, Anita; Sonnemans, Joep - 2019
". We observe both stable markets and large bubbles for both small and large markets. The data analysis shows no differences … successfully drives prices back towards the fundamental, but we observe very large bubbles in which the news apparently has no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
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Fundamental disagreement about monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates
Cao, Shuo; Crump, Richard K.; Eusepi, Stefano; Mönch, … - 2021 - Revised August 2021
Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249767
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Fundamental disagreement about monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates
Cao, Shuo; Crump, Richard K.; Eusepi, Stefano; Mönch, … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012254015
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A fundamental-analysis-based test for speculative prices
Curtis, Asher - In: The accounting review : a publication of the American … 87 (2012) 1, pp. 121-148
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009506463
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Role of diversification risk in financial bubbles
Yan, Wanfeng; Woodard, Ryan; Sornette, Didier - 2011
during the bubble generation. We apply this new model to two famous Chinese stock bubbles, from August 2006 to October 2007 … of the 2008 financial crisis. financial bubbles, rational expectations, positive feedback, factor model, diversification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009273110