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We show analysts’ own earnings forecasts predict error in their own forecasts of earnings at other horizons, which we argue provides a measure of the extent to which analysts inefficiently use information. We construct our measure by exploiting two sources of variation in analysts’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220544
We show analysts’ own earnings forecasts predict error in their own forecasts of earnings at other horizons, which we argue provides a measure of the extent to which analysts inefficiently use information. We construct our measure by exploiting two sources of variation in analysts’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222335
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The traditional predictor of technical inefficiency proposed by Jondrow et al. (1982) is a conditional expectation. We study whether, and by how much, the predictor can be improved by using auxiliary information in the conditioning set. To do so, we use simulations to study two types of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293696
challenge for economists. The International Monetary Fund proposes within its periodic World Economic Outlook report a measure …-frequency information. Pseudo real-time results show that this approach provides reliable and timely nowcasts of the world GDP annual growth …
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