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Aggregate implied volatility spread (IVS), defined as the cross-sectional average difference in the implied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897782
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
Our research on data for the S&P 500 ETF from 1993-2013 documents an intraday momentum pattern: the first half-hour return on the market (from the previous day's close) predicts the last half-hour return. The predictability, both statistically and economically significant, is stronger on more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972249
time-varying parameter vector autoregression with stochastic volatility. The empirical analysis reveals several new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012594935
We use realized volatilities based on after hours high frequency returns to predict next day volatility. We extend … inclusion of the preopen variance can improve the out-of-sample forecastability of the next day conditional day volatility … day conditional volatility. Our findings support the results of prior studies that traders trade for non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211521
uncertainty and recursive utility function. Within such a framework, the negative volatility risk premium implied from option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117074
This paper reviews the predictability evidence of the variance risk premium: (1) it predicts significant positive risk premiums across equity, bond, currency, and credit markets; (2) the predictability peaks at a few month horizons and dies out afterwards; (3) such a short-run predictability is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940510
closely and has certain other advantages. Second, we introduce a volatility index that provides a lower bound on the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489383
effects of highs and lows on a stock's beta and return volatility. We find that implied volatilities and stock betas decrease …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133792