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-GARCH(1,1), CAViaR and historical simulation models in periods with contrasting volatility trends (increasing, constantly high … volatility trend. However, GARCH-st (1,1) and QML-GARCH(1,1) were found to be the most robust models in the different volatility … periods. The results show as well that the CAViaR model forecasts were less appropriate in the increasing volatility period …
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The use of GARCH models with stable Paretian innovations in financial modeling has been recently suggested in the literature. This class of processes is attractive because it allows for conditional skewness and leptokurtosis of financial returns without ruling out normality. This contribution...
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forecasting the daily volatility of Bulgarian investment funds, which will support the investment community in making adequate ….1) are adapted to predict the volatility of investment funds. The current development focuses on forecasting the risk … group. The object of the study includes quantitative analysis, estimation and forecasting of daily volatility through the …
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