This research aims to examine empirically the overreliance on representativeness heuristic and anchoring-adjustment influences experienced by investors in forecasting future earnings. This research was a laboratory experiment with a design of 2x2 full factorial between subject. The results...

We find that index ETFs' tracking error, a measure of the manager's ability to replicate the index's return, is a significantly and consistently negative predictor of performance. Tracking error is highly persistent, indicating index ETF manager's ability to replicate the index persists over...

The economic gains from using equity premium forecasts are usually assessed by comparing a forecast-based strategy to a strategy based on the trailing historical mean. Whether these economic gains are statistically significant remains mostly untested. This paper shows that a buy-and-hold...