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Does the tail risk index matter in forecasting downside risk?
Hung, Jui-Cheng; Liu, Hung-Chun; Yang, J. Jimmy - In: International journal of finance & economics : IJFE 28 (2023) 3, pp. 3451-3466
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327761
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Forecasting extreme financial risk : a score-driven approach
Fuentes, Fernanda; Herrera, Rodrigo; Clements, Adam - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 2, pp. 720-735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465107
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Value at risk estimation for heavy tailed distributions
Gammoudi, Imed; BelKacem, Lotfi; El Ghourabi, Mohamed - In: The international journal of business and finance … 8 (2014) 3, pp. 109-125
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010241908
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Forecasting Tail Risks
De Nicolo, Gianni - 2015
This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial risks obtained using a large database of monthly U.S. data for the period 1972:1-2014:12 Pseudo-real time forecasts are generated from: (a) sets of autoregressive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012648
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Forecasting Tail Risks
De Nicolo, Gianni - 2015
the period 1972:1-2014:12 to forecasts our tail risk indicators with each model in pseudo-real time. Our key finding is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024363
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The tail risk surface
Ahn, Jungkyu; Ahn, Yongkil - In: Finance research letters 58 (2023) 3, pp. 1-6
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014631255
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Forecasting systemic impact in financial networks
Hautsch, Nikolaus; Schaumburg, Julia; Schienle, Melanie - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 3, pp. 781-794
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515583
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Forecasting tail risk for Bitcoin : a dynamic peak over threshold approach
Ke, Rui; Yang, Luyao; Tan, Changchun - In: Finance research letters 49 (2022), pp. 1-9
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013478773
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Assessing coherent value-at-risk and expected shortfall with extreme expectiles
Daouia, Abdelaati; Girard, Stéphane; Stupfler, Gilles - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302290
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Multivariate Nonparametric Estimation of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall for Nonlinear Returns Using Extreme Value Theory
Brauchler, Ryan - 2012
extreme value theory (EVT) to propose a multivariate estimation procedure for value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES …The catastrophic failures of risk management systems in 2008 bring to the forefront the need for accurate and flexible … estimators of market risk. Despite advances in the theory and practice of evaluating risk, existing measures are notoriously poor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100621