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Nonparametric predictive reliability of series of voting systems
Aboalkhair, Ahmad M.; Coolen, Frank P. A.; MacPhee, Ian M. - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 226 (2013) 1, pp. 77-84
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715681
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MPC voting, forecasting and inflation
Charemza, Wojciech; Ladley, Dan - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009670637
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Vote self-prediction hardly predicts who will vote, and is (misleadingly) unbiased
Rogers, Todd; Aida, Masa - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736903
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Explaining variance in the accuracy of prediction markets
Strijbis, Oliver; Arnesen, Sveinung - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 1, pp. 408-419
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300662
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Using polls to forecast popular vote share for US presidential elections 2016 and 2020 : an optimal forecast combination based on ensemble empirical model
Easaw, Joshy Z.; Fang, Yongmei; Heravi, Saeed M. - In: Journal of the Operational Research Society 74 (2023) 3, pp. 905-911
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332233
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Biased forecasts to affect voting decisions? : the Brexit case
Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2019
forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and in uence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984037
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Biased forecasts to affect voting decisions? : the Brexit case
Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2019
forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and influence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990008
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The wisdom of crowds : applying Condorcet's jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections
Murr, Andreas E. - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 916-929
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474728
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A probability scoring rule for simultaneous events
Grant, Andrew; Johnstone, David; Kwon, Oh Kang - In: Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for … 16 (2019) 4, pp. 301-313
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012153107
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Investigations on the discrimination ability of multivariate scoring rules
Stock, Maximilian - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013412643