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We propose several nonparametric predictors of the mid-price in a limit order book, based on different features constructed from the order book data observed contemporaneously and in the recent past. We evaluate our predictors in the context of an order execution task by constructing order...
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Using trader-resolved data, we document lead-lag relationships between groups of investors in the foreign exchange market. Because these relationships are systematic and persistent, order flow is predictable from trader-resolved order flow. We thus propose a generic method to exploit trader...
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, we give an empirical result on the relationship between the bid-ask liquidity balance and trade sign and we show that … liquidity balance on best bid/best ask is quite informative for predicting the future market order's direction. Moreover, we de … market order size as well as the liquidity on the best bid (best ask) are consistently informative for predicting the …
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Many securities markets are organized as double auctions where each incoming limit order --- i.e., an order to buy or sell at a specific price --- is stored in a data structure called the limit order book. A trade happens whenever a market order arrives --- i.e., an order to buy or sell at the...
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results are partly confirmatory. In addition, we provide evidence for size and liquidity effects and analyze changes in …
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