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This paper defines a measure of net housing demand or supply which allows the calculation of a long, high frequency … implies a net oversupply. Supply is defined as the available dwelling stock. Demand is calculated from the long term trend in … series is easily and inexpensively replicable. We formulate this measure as excess demand. A negative excess demand figure …
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In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 145 indicators and ten types of forecast combination schemes to predict housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. We are interested in whether local business confidence indicators facilitate substantial improvements of the forecasts,...
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This paper investigates the importance of including data on new housing supply in Dynamic Stochastic General … financial sector and real estate sector, they have largely overlooked housing supply. I develop an extended DSGE model that … includes both the financial sector and endogenous housing supply and show that forecasting accuracy significantly improves when …
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This paper identifies supply and demand shocks that are specific to the oil-market, and separates them from economy …-wide shocks that affect the demand for many asset classes, including oil. The shocks are identified by the sign and magnitude of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006128