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managers alike. Both professions have found it increasingly difficult to forecast savings deposit flows. This article explores … models of the savings deposit market. To achieve this aim, I use the so-called FMP (MPS) macro model used by the Federal … Reserve Board since 1970 and the deposit forecast model of the Philadelphia Saving Fund Society (PSFS), the oldest and largest …
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We study how individual unemployment expectations are shaped and updated using a unique longitudinal survey data set with subjective unemployment expectations. The survey data is linked with third-party reported administrative data on unemployment realizations, such that we are able to examine...
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