We consider the basic problem of refi tting a time series over a finite period of time and formulate it as a stochastic dynamic program. By changing the underlying Markov decision process we are able to obtain a model that at optimality considers historical data as well as forecasts of future...

Focuses on a study which developed a framework for forecast and decision horizons. Definition of finite and infinite horizon stochastic optimization problems for a given forecast; Description of the general framework; Conditions for the existence of a solution horizon; Development of sufficient...

Several approaches for subset recovery and improved forecasting accuracy have been proposed and studied. One way is to apply a regularization strategy and solve the model selection task as a continuous optimization problem. One of the most popular approaches in this research field is given by...

Traditional time series forecasting models are difficult to capture the nonlinear patterns. Support vector regression (SVR) has been successfully used to solve nonlinear regression and times series problems. However, parameters determination for a SVR model is competent to the forecasting...

Traditional time series forecasting models are difficult to capture the nonlinear patterns. Support vector regression (SVR) has been successfully used to solve nonlinear regression and times series problems. However, parameters determination for a SVR model is competent to the forecasting...