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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, BinanceCoin, Litecoin, EnjinCoin, Horizen, Namecoin, Peercoin, and Feathercoin. We evaluate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239468
The ability of Google Trends data to forecast the number of new daily cases and deaths of COVID-19 is examined using a dataset of 158 countries. The analysis includes the computations of lag correlations between confirmed cases and Google data, Granger causality tests, and an out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826063
cryptocurrencies with an emphasis on the most popular cryptocurrency called Bitcoin. We elaborate on the main differences between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542956
substantial but not unprecedented overvaluation in the price of bitcoin, suggesting many months of volatile sideways bitcoin …We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877663
We use boosted decision trees to generate daily out-of-sample forecasts of excess returns for Bitcoin and Ethereum, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213970
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306538
We evaluate the usefulness of Google search volume to predict returns and volatility of multiple cryptocurrencies. The analysis is based on a new algorithm which allows to construct mulit-annual, consistent time series of Google search volume indices (SVIs) on various frequencies. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899978
We present a detailed bubble analysis of the Bitcoin to US Dollar price dynamics from January 2012 to February 2018. We … the dynamics of Bitcoin price during the analyzed time period. We explain this classification of long and short bubbles by … provide a plausible scenario for the subsequent Bitcoin price evolution. We present these predictions for the three long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899669
the price of crude oil to the price of gasoline is asymmetric. Although there have been many contributions documenting … forecasting performance of econometric models incorporating asymmetric price transmission from crude oil to gasoline. In this …, while the ECM implies symmetric price transmission from crude oil to gasoline. We quantify the forecast accuracy gains due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057750
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166153