The use of Markov processes (or Markov chains) has become widespread in dynamic stochastic modeling. For example, its use is ubiquitous in macroeconomics (dynamic stochastic general equilibrium), finance (dynamic asset pricing), and areas of microeconomics (dynamic programming). As we discuss...

According to the World Health Organization, more than one million road traffic deaths occur every year throughout the world. Many countries have established quantified road safety targets in response. Road safety targets need to be based on reliable forecasting methods. This paper attempts to...