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This Article examines how contract drafters can use data on contract outcomes to inform contract design. Building on … recent developments in contract data collection and analysis, the Article proposes “predictive contracting,” a new method of … contracting in which contract drafters can design contracts using a technology system that helps predict the connections between …
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from statistical decision theory to overcome the problem of "elicitability" for ES by jointly modelling ES and VaR, and …
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Risk estimation or volatility estimation at financial markets, particularly stock exchange markets, is complex issue of great importance to theorists and practitioners. Models used to estimate volatility forecasts are translated into better pricing of stocks and better risk management. The aim...
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