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Fiscal foresight, forecast revisions and the effects of government spending in the open economy
Gambetti, Luca - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010376774
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The economic effects of government spending : using expectations data to control for information
Hall, Matthew; Thapar, Aditi - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 27 (2023) 1, pp. 141-170
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247356
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Fiscal policy effects on US labor market
Kim, Hyeongwoo; Ryu, Deockhyun; Son, Jisoo - In: Journal of economic development 48 (2023) 1, pp. 85-110
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014266485
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Fiscal forecast errors : governments versus independent agencies?
Merola, Rossana; Pérez, Javier J. - In: European journal of political economy 32 (2013), pp. 285-299
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010230682
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Are debt sustainability indicators based on time-series data useful for predicting crises?
Mersmann, Katharina; Westermann, Frank - In: FinanzArchiv : European journal of public finance 76 (2020) 2, pp. 146-164
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012602323
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Predicting fiscal crises
Cerovic, Svetlana; Gerling, Kerstin; Hodge, Andrew; … - 2018
This paper identifies leading indicators of fiscal crises based on a large sample of countries at different stages of development over 1970-2015. Our results are robust to different methodologies and sample periods. Previous literature on early warning sistems (EWS) for fiscal crises is scarce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905898
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Predicting Fiscal Crises
Cerovic, Svetlana - 2018
This paper identifies leading indicators of fiscal crises based on a large sample of countries at different stages of development over 1970-2015. Our results are robust to different methodologies and sample periods. Previous literature on early warning sistems (EWS) for fiscal crises is scarce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912485
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The impact of forecast errors on fiscal planning and debt accumulation
Ademmer, Martin; Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 242 (2022) 2, pp. 171-190
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187699
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How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?
Ericsson, Neil R. - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 2, pp. 543-559
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922925
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The impact of forecast errors on fiscal planning and debt accumulation
Ademmer, Martin; Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens - 2019
We investigate the impact of errors in medium run tax revenue forecasts on the final budget balance. Our analysis is based on fiscal data for the entirety of German states and takes advantage of revenue forecasts and respective errors that can be considered as exogenously given in the budgeting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998792