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Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple … explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by … portfolios in terms of portfolio risk. While optimal daily weights minimize portfolio risk, we find that portfolio turnover and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745369
results show that asymmetric models generally outperform symmetric ones, indicating that a correlation between volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011818288
hedging strategies, and assessing risk. Most investors estimate the stock-bond correlation simply by extrapolating the …Investors rely on the stock-bond correlation for a variety of tasks, such as forming optimal portfolios, designing … historical correlation of monthly returns and assume that this correlation best characterizes the correlation of future, annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225162
nonlinearity, and improved out-of-sample prediction. This article conducted a comprehensive, objective, and quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013475217
In this work we use Recurrent Neural Networks and Multilayer Perceptrons, to predict NYSE, NASDAQ and AMEX stock prices from historical data. We experiment with different architectures and compare data normalization techniques. Then, we leverage those findings to question the efficient-market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834485
explain risk premium. Investigating whether these factors are useful in forecasting stock returns remains active research in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235825
. These seven scripts contain the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) framework, Instantaneous Frequency Forecasting (IFF …) framework, Regularised Covariance Regression (RCR) framework, Risk Premia Parity (RPP) weighting functions, Singular Spectrum … RCR framework to forecast covariance and correlation structures and finally apply portfolio weighting strategies based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014253907
. We apply these insights to analyze the implications of a shift in stock-bond correlation regime for the risk of multi …The correlation between stock and bond returns is a cornerstone of asset allocation decisions. The correlation can move … real returns on short-term bonds, and the uncertainty surrounding inflation as important factors for understanding the sign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349506
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349505