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We investigate the extent to which international and domestic economic policy uncertainty (EPU) impacts analysts’ earnings forecasts for Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) listed firms. Over a twenty-year period, we demonstrate that EPU is positively associated with analyst coverage, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355572
The interconnection of stock markets offers valuable insights into the broader dynamics of global financial markets. This study uses the Diebold and Yilmaz index model to analyze and measure volatility spillovers and interconnectedness among APEC stock markets. The objective is to identify major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502815
We investigate regulations intended to stop managers from privately disclosing corporate information to analysts in a setting with enhanced potential to isolate regulatory effects: the European Union (EU) Market Abuse Directive (MAD), a common regulation implemented by member states with varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831352
We examine the impact of the monthly Employment Situation Report issued by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and of analyst forecasts of that report on U.S. Treasury securities market. Surprise increases in total non-farm payroll employment lead to increases in interest rates (especially 1-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916648
Analysts' functions are divided into discovery and interpretation roles, but separating between the two is non-trivial. We conjecture that analysts' interpretation skill can be gauged by their forecast revisions following material unanticipated news — in particular following non-earnings 8-K...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035617
I investigate the dynamics of analyst forecast errors relative to economic policy uncertainty and find a significant positive relation between economic policy uncertainty and analyst forecast errors. A doubling of economic policy uncertainty is associated with a 4.29 percentage points increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868071
This paper examines the role of sophisticated investors in pricing future earnings. Using the future earnings response coefficient (FERC) model recently developed by Ettredge et al. (2005), we test the effect of analyst following and institutional ownership on the informativeness of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050494
This study examines whether conference calls provide additional information to analysts. For a large sample of conference calls, hosted by German firms between 2004 and 2007, our results show that conference calls improve analysts' ability to forecast future earnings accurately. This suggests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094228
This article analyzes the manifold situations in which the efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) has influenced — or has failed to influence — federal securities regulation and state corporate law, and the prospective roles for the EMH in these contexts. In federal securities regulation, the EMH...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100915
We use machine learning techniques to conduct out-of-sample predictions of the underpricing of U.S. initial public offerings (IPOs) from 1990 to 2019. Using predicted underpricing based on ex ante information to sort the IPOs into 10 groups, we find that the underpricing averages for the top and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307109