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The term globalisation has gained widespread popularity; yet most treatments are either descriptive and/or focused on changes in economic interconnectivity. This book brings together leading international experts from a range of disciplines to develop a long-term analysis to address the problems...
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challenge for economists. The International Monetary Fund proposes within its periodic World Economic Outlook report a measure …-frequency information. Pseudo real-time results show that this approach provides reliable and timely nowcasts of the world GDP annual growth …
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Civil unrest is a powerful form of collective human dynamics, which has led to major transitions of societies in modern history. The study of collective human dynamics, including collective aggression, has been the focus of much discussion in the context of modeling and identification of...
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In this paper, we disentangle tax revenue forecast errors into influences stemming from wrong macroeconomic assumptions and false predictions of the elasticities linking the tax base to its corresponding tax type. Across six tax types and the overall tax sum for Germany, we find a heterogeneous...
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