If policy-makers care about well-being, they need a recursive model of how adult life-satisfaction is predicted by childhood influences, acting both directly and (indirectly) through adult circumstances. We estimate such a model using the British Cohort Study (1970). The most powerful childhood...

Suppliers of consumer packaged goods are facing an increasingly challenging situation as they work to fulfill orders from their retail partners' distribution facilities. Traditionally these suppliers have generated forecasts of a given retailer's orders using records of that retailer's past...