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Under fairly general assumptions, expected stock returns are a linear combination of two accounting fundamentals ― book to market and ROE. Empirical estimates based on this relation predict the cross section of out-of-sample returns in 26 of 29 international equity markets, with a highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305235
Standard equity valuation approaches (i.e., DDM, RIM, and DCF model) are derived under the assumption of ideal conditions, such as infinite payoffs and clean surplus accounting. Because these conditions are hardly ever met, we extend the standard approaches, based on the fundamental principle of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009270446
The study aims at simulating and forecasting a company's stock returns and prices by a fundamentalist analysis process based on a Vector Error Correction with Exogenous Variables (VECX) econometric model. To achieve this, we selected relevant fundamentalist indicators and specified a model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129177
We survey recent research in accounting anomalies and fundamental analysis. We use forecasting of future earnings and returns as our organizing framework and suggest a roadmap for research aiming to document the forecasting benefits of accounting information. We combine this with opinions from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130106
This paper presents results from an experiment and follow-up survey examining whether stock prices influence analysts' earnings forecasts. In our experiment, prices influence analysts' forecasts when uncertainty about future earnings is high, but not when uncertainty is low. Additional analyses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139640
We evaluate the influence of measurement error in analysts' forecasts on the accuracy of implied cost of capital estimates from various implementations of the ‘implied cost of capital' approach, and develop corrections for the measurement error. We document predictable error in the implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114798
We outline a parsimonious empirical model to assess the relative usefulness of accounting and equity market based information to explain corporate credit spreads. The primary determinant of corporate credit spreads is the physical default probability. We compare existing accounting-based and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114991
Value relevance studies, which examine the relationship between accounting numbers and equity valuation, use market values sampled a number of months after the publication of annual financial reports. Although it stems from the researchers' belief that accounting information needs to be made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116111
This study examines the predictive power of comprehensive income and its individual components within the homogenous institutional setting of German IFRS firms. The results could be relevant for the standard setters IASB and FASB and their joint project “Financial Statement Presentation”. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116252
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100027