Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph; … - 2012
Based on the approach advanced by Elliott et al. (Rev. Ec. Studies. 72, 1197-1125), we found that the loss function of … a sample of oil price forecasters is asymmetric in the forecast error. Our findings indicate that the loss oil price … forecasters incurred when their forecasts exceeded the price of oil tended to be larger than the loss they incurred when their …