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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011347528
is affected by a mortgage pricing convention that underestimates co-borrowers' actual creditworthiness. Specifically, we … variation across time in mortgage rates to confirm that the difference in prepayment incidence exists only during a period of … declining mortgage rates. At an aggregate level, we find that geographic areas with higher concentration of co-borrowers are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845177
appropriate for UK and US mortgages. This model also forecasts mortgage default rates accurately and parsimoniously. The model … generates value-at-risk estimates for future mortgage default rates, which can be used to inform stress-testing and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925775
This paper explores alternative forecast approaches for mortgage credit risk for forward periods of up to seven years …. Using data from US prime mortgage loans from 2000 to 2016, we find that common borrower, loan contract and external features … alternatives. This higher precision results in more accurate economic capital, IFRS 9/CECL loan loss provisioning and mortgage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211469
The parameter loss given default (LGD) of loans plays a crucial role for risk-based decision making of banks including risk-adjusted pricing. Depending on the quality of the estimation of LGDs, banks can gain significant competitive advantage. For bank loans, the estimation is usually based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487575
This paper empirically investigates the causes of bank failures in Japan and Indonesia. Using logistic regression analysis of financial ratios, we explore the usefulness of domestic bank failure prediction models with a cross-country model that allows for cross-correlation of the error terms.Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121773
This paper empirically investigates the causes of bank failures in Japan and Indonesia. Using logistic regression analysis of financial ratios, we explore the usefulness of domestic bank failure prediction models with a cross-country model that allows for cross-correlation of the error terms.Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121776
failed to influence — federal securities regulation and state corporate law, and the prospective roles for the EMH in these … contexts. In federal securities regulation, the EMH has offered a theoretical construct to accompany the general belief in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100915
The recovery rate on defaulted corporate bonds has a time-varying distribution. We propose machine learning approaches for intertemporal analysis of U.S. corporate bonds' recovery rates with a large number of predictors. The most informative macroeconomic variables are selected from a broad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908447