Showing 1 - 10 of 5,924
We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and … simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's expected future cash flows and risk profile. We empirically implement the … evidence on the transmission, measurement, and implications of risk information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244502
This paper provides an empirical study on the predictability of implied volatility using dataset collected from the … implied volatility characteristics across various maturities. We applied both in and out-of-sample tests that include the … provides evidence of non-random movement in the implied volatility series and indicates predictability of implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121151
which is the expected risk neutral value of realized volatility under the discrete version is the other. This study conducts …The implied volatility from Black and Scholes (1973) model has been empirically tested for the forecasting performance … of future volatility and commonly shown to be biased. Based on the belief that the implied volatility from option prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159120
) index call and put options with different volatility forecasting approaches. Since the volatility is the key parameter in … pricing options, GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity), implied volatility, historical volatility …, and implied volatility index (VBI) are used to determine the best volatility approach for pricing options according to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334825
We apply a two-step strategy to forecast the dynamics of the volatility surface implicit in option prices to all …-post volatility of the minimum-variance portfolio is lower when compared with the equal-weighted portfolio and a minimum … realized Sharpe, Sortino and information ratios increase when the sample covariance matrix estimator is replaced with its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235957
We present a new option-pricing model, which explicitly captures the difference in the persistence of volatility under … historical and risk-neutral probabilities. The model also allows to capture the empirical properties of pricing kernels, such as … time-variation and the typical S-shape. We apply our model for two purposes. First, we analyze the risk preferences of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014461
of GARCH-X models improves the accuracy of their volatility forecasts for spot and 1-year time-charter tanker freight … of the volatility forecasts drawn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893144
evidence from the market for leveraged volatility (VIX) products. I find that the daily rebalancing imposes a substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846421
We ask whether option prices contain information on the likelihood and direction of jumps in the underlying stock … informed investors trade in the options markets to profit from negative information in order to circumvent the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847745
We construct a global implied volatility surface by combining information from the index options of twenty countries …, including global level and slope, U.S. convexity, VIX, SVIX, variance risk premium, and left-tail volatility. The predictability … options markets for risk sharing and information aggregation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349532