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We examine whether option prices correct for predictable bias in stock prices associated with accounting anomalies. Evidence from put-call parity violations suggests that they do not. Rather, option prices accurately track contemporaneous stock prices. Further analysis suggests that high costs...
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indicate that cash returns can be more accurately forecasted, for all forecast horizons, when forecast specifications contain …
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We use learning in an equilibrium model to explain the puzzling predictive power of the volatility risk premium (VRP) for option returns. In the model, a representative agent follows a rational Bayesian learning process in an economy under incomplete information with the objective of pricing...
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indicate that cash returns can be more accurately forecasted, for all forecast horizons, when forecast specifications contain …
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. My main hypothesis is accounting-based drivers can be used to forecast future volatility incremental to either past …
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forecast volatility …
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