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The ad hoc Black-Scholes (AHBS) model is one of the most widely used option valuation models among practitioners models. The main contribution of this study is methodological. We have two main results: (1) we make the empirical observation that typically the call and put sneers are discontinuous...
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We provide evidence of unreported trading by corporate insiders in their own firm's shares and link this activity to future firm earnings and analyst forecast error. Unreported trading represent discrepancies between insider shareholdings from trades they report to the Exchange and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060153
Since insider transactions are implemented through personal accounts, the NYSE classifies these trades as retail transactions. Indeed, imbalances of retail trading and insider trading move in lockstep and predict stock returns in the cross-section. A high-minus-low strategy in retail trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847010
We show that aggregate insider trading (AIT) in the S&P 500 is a reliable predictor of the U.S. equity premium, while AIT outside the S&P 500 seems to be uninformative. Aggregate trading of S&P 500 insiders outperforms a broad set of well-established predictors considering in- and out-of-sample...
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We investigate whether mandatory earnings announcement date forecasts are informative to investors and the informational tradeoffs between mandatory and voluntary forecasts. We find: (i) The percentages of the quarter's earnings news conveyed by mandatory China and voluntary US forecasts are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980114
When evaluating a trading strategy, it is routine to discount the Sharpe ratio from a historical backtest. The reason is simple: there is inevitable data mining by both the researcher and by other researchers in the past. Our paper provides a statistical framework that systematically accounts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034832
We survey the textual sentiment literature, comparing and contrasting the various information sources, content analysis methods, and empirical models that have been used to date. We summarize the important and influential findings about how textual sentiment impacts on individual, firm-level and...
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