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Corporate investment decisions require managers to forecast expected future cash flows from potential investments … infer the quality of their corporate investment decisions. Relying on the intuition that managers draw on similar skills … when generating external earnings forecasts and internal payoff forecasts for their investment decisions, we predict that …
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In this study, we examine how information provision affects the degree of overconfidence using an online experiment. The 4,210 experimental participants engaged in stock market prediction exercises were asked to evaluate their absolute and relative performance. We conducted a randomized...
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discrete choice. Our empirical results via the Simulated Method of Moment Approach show that consumer confidence in the US is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011635481
The paper studies a dynamic communication game in the presence of adverse selection and career concerns. A forecaster of privately known competence, who cares about his reputation, chooses the timing of the forecast regarding the outcome of some future event. We find that in all equilibria in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859563
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
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the literature, our empirical findings reveal a negative impact of firm-specific uncertainty on investment. However …, further results show that the investment response is asymmetric, depending on the size and direction of the forecast error …. The investment propensity declines significantly if the realized situation is worse than expected. However, firms do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445660
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