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stocks. While long-short (zero initial outlay) portfolios based on this signal usually make a profit on average, it is rarely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824583
Previous research finds that historical seasonal earnings rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255146
We present evidence of investors underreacting to the absence of events in financial markets. Routine-based insiders strategically choose to be silent when they possess private information not yet reflected in stock prices. Consistent with our hypothesis, insider silence following routine sell...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936679
Since insider transactions are implemented through personal accounts, the NYSE classifies these trades as retail transactions. Indeed, imbalances of retail trading and insider trading move in lockstep and predict stock returns in the cross-section. A high-minus-low strategy in retail trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847010
valuation. In our empirical application, we use 𝑄 to relate analyst forecasts to stock returns and measure the profitability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856424
We argue that high-frequency return predictability can be explained by delays in prices, providing another explanation for why paper profits often do not materialize. We investigate predictability in the US (and international) stock market from 2005 to 2012 and in 2020. We find that 1-minute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351322
We investigate whether investors are misled by firms that exclude particular expenses in calculating non-GAAP earnings in order to beat analysts' earnings forecasts. Our empirical analyses suggest that firms that pursue a strategy of non-GAAP reporting to beat analysts' earnings forecasts not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864015
This paper examines the role of sophisticated investors in pricing future earnings. Using the future earnings response coefficient (FERC) model recently developed by Ettredge et al. (2005), we test the effect of analyst following and institutional ownership on the informativeness of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050494
We study the effect of a mandatory improvement in public disclosure due to the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) on the stock return predictability of shorting activity. To assess the impact of the disclosure shock, we measure monthly changes in the demand for and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224726
originality strongly predicts higher, more persistent, and less volatile profitability; and higher abnormal stock returns … higher valuation uncertainty, lower investor attention, and greater sensitivity of future profitability to innovative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857235