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-forecasting ability managers. Our findings support the signaling theory of dividend changes and indicate that management forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322005
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001599514
This paper investigates the validity and usefulness of “hybrid” valuation models. We recast the model in Ohlson and Johannesson (2016) as a hybrid of the Dividend Discount Model and an earnings-based price multiple model, and develop a new hybrid model that generalizes the Residual Income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901969
The computation of implied cost of capital (ICC) is constrained by the lack of analyst forecasts for half of all firms. Hou, van Dijk, and Zhang (2012, HVZ) present a cross-sectional model to generate forecasts in order to compute ICC. However, the forecasts from the HVZ model perform worse than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057608
This study provides empirical evidence for the efficacy of deriving firms' earnings forecasts from predictions of the complete, conditional probability density function (pdf). Relative to cross-sectional earnings forecasts based on OLS regressions, improvements of accuracy, bias and measures for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216393
The computation of implied cost of capital (ICC) is constrained by the lack of analyst forecasts for half of all firms. Hou, van Dijk, and Zhang (2012, HVZ) present a cross-sectional model to generate forecasts in order to compute ICC. However, the forecasts from the HVZ model perform worse than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063029
Corporate investment decisions require managers to forecast expected future cash flows from potential investments. Although these forecasts are a critical component of successful investing, they are not directly observable by external stakeholders. In this study, we investigate whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063410
Using management earnings forecasts over the period 1996-2010, I find that the sensitivity of forecast revisions to contemporaneous stock returns is increasing in the amount of investors' private information in prices. This effect remains after controlling for various confounds and is robust to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996999
In this study, we examine the strategic intraday and intraweek timing of management forecast announcements based on whether they contain good or bad news. In contrast to past research using highly visible earnings announcements, unscheduled voluntary management forecasts provide a setting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039315
This paper offers an approach to assess the quality of foresight knowledge deployed or generated during foresight exercises. Although 'foresight knowledge' is a special case, the idea of having a procedure, an approach or a method available for assessing the quality of knowledge is tempting:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014145703