Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts,...

Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts,...

In this paper, we revisit the issue of excess sensitivity of consumption to income and address the weak instrument problem that is well documented in this literature. Using quarterly data for the U.S. economy, we first highlight the weak instrument problem by showing that the use of conventional...

Intro -- Series Editors' Foreword -- Preface -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 Motivation -- 1.2 Tracking Versus Economic Model Predictive Control: A High-Level Overview -- 1.3 Chemical Processes and Time-Varying Operation -- 1.3.1 Catalytic Oxidation of...

Front Cover -- The Analytics of Risk Model Validation -- Copyright Page -- Table of Contents -- About the editors -- About the contributors -- Preface -- Chapter 1 Determinants of small business default -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Data, methodology and summary statistics -- 3. Empirical...

A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets, with a focus on major current events Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic...